The beloved BLT sandwich, a symbol of complex supply chains and market interdependence, is becoming more expensive due to government policies affecting labor, tariffs, and regulations.
Economist Leonard Read highlighted the intricate collaboration behind everyday products, noting that no single person can make something as simple as a pencil alone. Similarly, the BLT depends on hundreds of workers involved in sowing, irrigating, feeding, reaping, slaughtering, kneading, packaging, and shipping its ingredients.
James Beard, a revered 20th-century American chef whose name graces the country's top culinary award, once said the key to a good sandwich is a "divine mix of flavors and textures." Though he referred to the chicken club sandwich, the sentiment applies to the BLT as well.
However, the cost of bacon, a core BLT ingredient, has surged significantly. According to the federal Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the average price per pound of bacon rose from $5.83 in January 2021 to a peak of $7.60 in October 2022, a 30 percent increase. Former President Trump remarked in August 2024 in Asheville, North Carolina, "When you look at the costs of groceries, the cost of bacon, where it went up four and five times, I don't order bacon anymore."
California's regulatory environment also plays a role. The National Pork Producers Council estimates that complying with California's rules would increase production costs by about 9 percent across the board.
Yuma County, Arizona—known as the "lettuce capital of the world"—contains over 180,000 acres of farmland irrigated by the Colorado River. This region produces a significant portion of the nation's iceberg and romaine lettuce. Yet, regulatory enforcement is strict; more than 100 citations carrying fines up to $5,000 were issued last year, according to the Arizona Mirror.
These factors collectively present a risk of supply shock-induced food shortages. The competing concerns—economic costs versus regulatory goals—are complex and difficult to reconcile. As Reason notes, "More accurately, your guess is better than ours. In a functioning democracy, policy choices like those usually belong to the people and their elected representatives."
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