The Strait of Hormuz, a critical global energy passage, is reportedly named after a Zoroastrian deity destined to emerge victorious after a 9,000-year stand-off. Iran’s leadership believes it is nearing its own decisive victory without needing such prolonged patience.

Iran is leveraging military pressure to compel the United States to accept its control over the strait. Tehran is aware of the diminishing US stockpiles of key weapons, including advanced missile interceptors, and the economic impact of a largely closed strait, which keeps petrol and goods prices high ahead of the US congressional elections in November 2026.

However, Iran also recognizes the risks involved. Attempts to forcibly open the strait could be costly and might necessitate American ground troops. Additionally, Iran’s Houthi allies in Yemen could escalate the conflict and disrupt another major trade route.

Given these factors, Iran appears to believe that US President Donald Trump has limited options but to concede to their demands.

Sources