On Wednesday, August 12th, 2026, prediction market Polymarket showed that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has surpassed California Governor Gavin Newsom as the favorite to win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Ocasio-Cortez currently holds an 18% chance of securing the nomination, compared with Newsom's 17% chance.

These figures reflect the latest market sentiment regarding potential candidates for the Democratic nomination in the upcoming presidential election cycle.

Sources